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Nicolas Rabener

11 Articles

Monte Carlo Simulations: Forecasting Folly?

Introduction The Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSE) was booming in early…

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Do-It-Yourself High-Dividend Strategies | CFA Institute Enterprising Investor

Introduction What do business development companies (BDCs) and covered call and preferred…

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The Trouble with Forecasting Home Prices

Introduction Mortgage rates have doubled and tripled in some countries since 2021.…

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When Hindsight Becomes Foresight: Replicating Investment Performance

Introduction We have analyzed dozens of public and private market investment strategies,…

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Myth-Busting: The Economy Drives the Stock Market

Introduction Switch on Bloomberg TV or CNBC at any time of the…

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Shorting Lousy Stocks = Lousy Returns?

Introduction Playing the stock market should be easy: When the economy is…

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Equity and Bond Correlations: Higher Than Assumed?

Introduction Investing can seem like an endless cycle of booms and busts.…

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Myth-Busting: Alts’ Uncorrelated Returns Diversify Portfolios

Introduction Alternative investments accounted for $13 trillion in assets under management (AUM)…

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Sector and Factor Performance in Wartime

Introduction Before 2020, the threat of a global pandemic shutting down the…

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Outperformance Ain’t Alpha | CFA Institute Enterprising Investor

Introduction Around 90% of US drivers rate themselves as safer and more…

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